Programme
By the time you read this page, you should have at least a
plan and a workable network plan. The chart we, as project managers and the
supporting team follow is a Gant Chart.
Using the network diagram, activity start and end dates
should calculated for each activity. Begin with the first activity and work
through to the last. If an activity is not on the critical path you can be
more flexible as they will not affect the overall project completion date.
To check that the dates you have calculated are realistic,
refer to the Gant chart, master schedule (if other projects are running
parallel to yours) and commitment matrix. Where an overlap exists check
whether the same resource is required and adjust accordingly. You will
probably have to adjust the start and end dates if the resource cannot be
increased.
With the assistance of your Planner and Estimator (and if
available, another project manager), prepare a separate draft schedule that
identifies project threats. Use this schedule as a basis for your next
brainstorming session, the Risk Workshop.
For the Risk Workshop, invite people from outside the project
as well as within. This will encourage the team to defend the plan against
constructive criticism. This will make them more determined to overcome the
obstacles ahead. Deal with each threat in turn and give particular attention
to those threats on the critical path. Besides the project threats, use the
workshop as means to draw out potential opportunities. I strongly believe in
the saying, "where there is risk there is also opportunity". Similarly if a
risk is identified as too high to overcome, then change may be the only
re-course. If a change to the project is inevitable then look for any
opportunities that may come from the options available.
In general, the Risk Workshop has one output. The skeleton of
a Risk Register. As soon as possible after the workshop you, with the
assistance of your key team, should start to put the flesh around it. Before
formally issuing the document formally, ensure you have acceptable mitigated
answers to all the threats identified. On your plan, provide milestones for
the key dates from the identified threats so that they can be monitored and
managed. It may be necessary that some of the identified threats may need to
be added to your decision tree and the tree reviewed.
From the time we first used the Decision Tree we moved into
the territory known as Contingency Planning. It is not possible to cover
every eventuality. Within a normal project we generally only cover what we
call the Credible Risks. Those risks that within reason, could conceivably
occur. For example, unless we are designing a building that is to remain
standing whatever its possible to be thrown at it over the next thousand
years, such as a nuclear storage facility, there is no need to design it for
say a 1 in 10,000 year Siesmic event. Its a possible event, but over the
next one hundred years its very unlikely to happen. As we are designing the
building to last for about fifty years its still possible but not really
credible. Most insurance companies work with this perspective. However, for
completeness, it would do no harm to list those risks that were considered
as not credible so that the business as a whole can agree with its insurers.
The Risk Register will contain and mitigate (through
contingency planning) the identified Credible Risks to the project. It is
normal that you as the project manager are the owner of that document. Once
the document is complete you need to revisit your cost-benefit analysis.
Upon satisfactory completion of this stage you can now
provide the team with a "baseline" or starting point to the plan.
Time spent validating the plan is rarely wasted.
